Palermo FC vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
17.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
COM
0 - 0
PAL
52%
27%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
ATL
1 - 1
PAL
53%
28%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1970 |
PAL
1 - 1
PIS
55%
27%
18%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1970 |
PAL
4 - 0
BAR
42%
31%
27%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
MAN
1 - 1
PAL
59%
25%
16%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
NOV
0 - 0
ARZ
54%
28%
18%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
NOV
0 - 0
TAR
51%
29%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1970 |
COM
2 - 1
NOV
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1970 |
NOV
3 - 0
TER
42%
31%
28%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
BRE
2 - 0
NOV
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |