Palermo FC vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
32.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1991 |
MES
0 - 0
PAL
51%
27%
21%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
PAL
1 - 1
ANC
36%
30%
34%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
BOL
0 - 0
PAL
79%
15%
6%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1991 |
PAL
2 - 0
PES
36%
30%
34%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 1991 |
PIS
2 - 0
PAL
76%
17%
7%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1991 |
MOD
0 - 0
AVE
50%
28%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
TAR
0 - 1
MOD
40%
29%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
MOD
1 - 1
ASL
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1991 |
REG
3 - 1
MOD
57%
25%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1991 |
ANC
3 - 2
MOD
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |