Palermo FC vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
19.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
13.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
COM
1 - 1
PAL
45%
30%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
PAL
4 - 1
AVE
50%
29%
20%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
TAR
1 - 2
PAL
52%
28%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
PAL
0 - 0
SSS
50%
30%
20%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
VAR
1 - 0
PAL
50%
28%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
MOD
1 - 3
SAM
42%
30%
27%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
USC
3 - 0
MOD
53%
30%
17%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
CES
0 - 0
MOD
64%
24%
12%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
MOD
2 - 1
RIM
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
CAG
0 - 0
MOD
76%
16%
7%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |