Palermo FC vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
16.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1976 |
PAL
1 - 1
VAR
38%
30%
32%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
TER
2 - 1
PAL
63%
24%
13%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
PAL
0 - 0
ATL
51%
29%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
SPA
3 - 1
PAL
58%
26%
16%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
PAL
1 - 1
GEN
47%
30%
23%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1976 |
MOD
0 - 2
GEN
39%
31%
30%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
VAR
0 - 0
MOD
69%
22%
10%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
PES
2 - 1
MOD
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
MOD
2 - 1
VIC
36%
32%
33%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
TAR
1 - 1
MOD
52%
29%
19%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |