Palermo FC vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
18.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
16.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
REG
0 - 0
PAL
48%
30%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
NAP
1 - 0
PAL
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
PAL
0 - 1
FCC
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1971 |
SOR
2 - 1
PAL
44%
23%
34%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
PAL
0 - 0
VER
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
MOD
1 - 2
TER
50%
28%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
REG
2 - 1
MOD
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
MOD
1 - 0
CES
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1971 |
MOD
2 - 0
VIC
37%
26%
38%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
BOL
3 - 0
MOD
79%
14%
7%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |