Palermo FC vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
26.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1967 |
PAL
4 - 0
SAL
53%
27%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
LIV
2 - 1
PAL
53%
27%
20%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
ARZ
0 - 1
PAL
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
PAL
1 - 1
VER
47%
29%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
PAL
0 - 0
USA
52%
27%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1967 |
POT
1 - 0
MOD
53%
26%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
MOD
1 - 1
USA
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
GEN
1 - 0
MOD
51%
27%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
MOD
1 - 0
NOV
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
SAL
3 - 2
MOD
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |