Palermo FC vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
31%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
TRI
3 - 1
PAL
41%
29%
29%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
PRO
2 - 1
PAL
48%
28%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1965 |
NAP
1 - 0
PAL
64%
20%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
PAL
1 - 1
PAD
44%
30%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
PAL
1 - 2
VNZ
50%
29%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
MOD
1 - 1
VER
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
LIV
0 - 0
MOD
37%
30%
33%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
PAR
1 - 1
MOD
37%
30%
34%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
MOD
1 - 1
REG
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1965 |
BRE
3 - 1
MOD
54%
26%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |