Palermo FC vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
ATL
1 - 0
PAL
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1962 |
NAP
3 - 0
PAL
59%
22%
18%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1962 |
PAL
1 - 1
JUV
15%
21%
65%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
VNZ
0 - 1
PAL
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
GEN
5 - 0
PAL
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
MOD
4 - 0
NAP
35%
29%
37%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1962 |
JUV
2 - 1
MOD
84%
10%
6%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1962 |
MOD
0 - 2
ATL
31%
29%
40%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
SPA
1 - 0
MOD
66%
19%
15%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
CAT
3 - 2
MOD
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |