Palermo FC vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
42.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SIE
4 - 1
PAL
35%
27%
39%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
PAL
5 - 1
LAZ
49%
23%
28%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
CAG
2 - 1
PAL
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
PAL
2 - 1
ATL
66%
20%
15%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
INT
4 - 4
PAL
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ACM
1 - 1
JUV
59%
23%
18%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CES
1 - 3
ACM
13%
24%
64%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ACM
4 - 0
ARS
38%
24%
38%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
UDI
1 - 2
ACM
36%
27%
37%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
ACM
1 - 2
JUV
58%
23%
19%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |