Palermo FC vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
49.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
TRI
1 - 0
PAL
54%
23%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
FIO
3 - 1
PAL
57%
23%
21%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
PAL
3 - 3
UNI
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
PAL
4 - 0
UDI
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
NAP
3 - 0
PAL
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
NAP
0 - 1
ACM
37%
24%
39%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
ACM
4 - 0
TRI
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
SAM
2 - 1
ACM
31%
24%
45%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
ACM
0 - 0
NOV
85%
10%
5%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
UDI
2 - 2
ACM
25%
24%
51%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |