Palermo FC vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
50.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
PAL
1 - 0
TOR
24%
22%
54%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1933 |
TRI
2 - 0
PAL
50%
23%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1933 |
BOL
3 - 0
PAL
86%
9%
5%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1933 |
PAL
2 - 1
LAZ
46%
23%
31%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1933 |
PAL
1 - 1
LEO
47%
23%
30%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
ACM
5 - 0
PRO
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1933 |
NAP
0 - 1
ACM
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1933 |
ACM
6 - 2
PAD
70%
16%
15%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1933 |
ROM
4 - 0
ACM
62%
21%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1933 |
ACM
2 - 0
BAR
81%
12%
8%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |