Palermo FC vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
24.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
CRO
1 - 1
PAL
41%
26%
34%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
PAL
4 - 2
REG
27%
28%
45%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
PAL
2 - 0
SAM
25%
26%
49%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
CTT
2 - 2
PAL
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2002 |
PAL
0 - 0
BAR
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
SIE
1 - 0
MES
38%
29%
34%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
MES
1 - 3
SAL
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
VIC
2 - 2
MES
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
MES
0 - 0
GEN
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
ANC
1 - 1
MES
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |