Palermo FC vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
29.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1992 |
ANC
1 - 1
PAL
63%
23%
14%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1992 |
PAL
2 - 1
BOL
35%
30%
35%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
PES
2 - 1
PAL
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
PAL
1 - 1
PIS
31%
29%
40%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1992 |
LEC
1 - 0
PAL
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1992 |
MES
2 - 0
COS
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1992 |
TAR
3 - 1
MES
39%
31%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
LEC
0 - 2
MES
56%
26%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
MES
1 - 0
PAD
47%
29%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1992 |
BRE
1 - 0
MES
55%
26%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |