Coppa Italia 1/32
Global 3-1
Palermo FC vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
40.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
MES
1 - 0
PAL
68%
20%
13%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
PAL
1 - 3
VER
21%
28%
51%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1990 |
VER
2 - 1
PAL
82%
13%
5%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1989 |
ROM
4 - 0
PAL
86%
10%
4%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
PIS
1 - 1
PAL
76%
16%
9%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
MES
1 - 0
PAL
68%
20%
13%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1991 |
ANC
1 - 1
MES
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1991 |
MES
2 - 2
UDI
39%
30%
32%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1991 |
TAR
0 - 0
MES
40%
29%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1991 |
MES
3 - 0
SSB
47%
29%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |