Palermo FC vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1955 |
BAR
0 - 1
PAL
48%
25%
26%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1955 |
MOD
0 - 1
PAL
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
PAL
1 - 0
PAR
55%
22%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
PAL
2 - 0
VER
63%
20%
16%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
ACM
1 - 1
PAL
64%
20%
17%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1955 |
MOD
1 - 0
MES
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1955 |
MES
0 - 0
ASS
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
MES
3 - 1
VER
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
USA
2 - 1
MES
52%
24%
23%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
UNI
4 - 0
MES
68%
18%
14%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |