Palermo FC vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
JUS
2 - 1
PAL
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
PAL
1 - 0
CAT
69%
20%
12%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
GUA
0 - 0
PAL
31%
28%
42%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
PAL
1 - 1
LOD
69%
20%
12%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
GIU
4 - 0
PAL
26%
28%
46%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
MAR
0 - 2
ASC
20%
24%
56%
|
39 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
LOD
1 - 2
MAR
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
MAR
0 - 1
CRO
20%
25%
56%
|
38 | 66 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
CAT
5 - 0
MAR
61%
22%
17%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
MAR
0 - 1
AVE
23%
26%
51%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |