Q. Europa League 4a Ronda Final
Global 5-3
Palermo FC vs Maribor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
FSV
2 - 1
PAL
18%
25%
57%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 2
PAL
35%
27%
38%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
PAL
1 - 1
SAM
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
SIE
1 - 2
PAL
28%
27%
45%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
PAL
3 - 1
ACM
35%
25%
40%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
MAR
3 - 1
NKN
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
HIB
2 - 3
MAR
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
MAR
3 - 1
GOR
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2010 |
MAR
3 - 0
HIB
58%
22%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
RUD
0 - 0
MAR
41%
26%
34%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |