Palermo FC vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
22.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 0
PAL
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
PAL
0 - 0
MES
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
PAL
1 - 2
ROM
17%
25%
58%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
VIC
0 - 0
PAL
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
PAL
2 - 1
ABN
62%
23%
16%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
LIV
2 - 0
PIA
39%
28%
34%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
TOR
1 - 1
LIV
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
LIV
0 - 0
ATL
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
LIV
2 - 2
CAT
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
FIO
1 - 1
LIV
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |