Palermo FC vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
40.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2001 |
MOD
3 - 0
PAL
58%
23%
18%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
PAL
1 - 2
MOD
36%
28%
37%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
PAL
1 - 0
ASC
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
NOC
1 - 2
PAL
28%
31%
42%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
MES
1 - 0
PAL
47%
28%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2001 |
LIV
0 - 0
ABN
75%
17%
9%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
ALV
0 - 0
LIV
19%
25%
56%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
LIV
1 - 0
CES
63%
22%
16%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
ASL
1 - 0
LIV
34%
27%
39%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
SPA
1 - 1
LIV
34%
27%
39%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |