Palermo FC vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
19%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
PAL
1 - 0
PAR
60%
25%
15%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
POT
3 - 2
PAL
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
FOR
1 - 1
PAL
37%
29%
33%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
PAL
2 - 1
BAR
42%
31%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
BRE
0 - 0
PAL
62%
23%
16%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
FCC
3 - 1
LIV
54%
26%
21%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
LIV
0 - 0
TRI
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
PAD
2 - 0
LIV
64%
22%
15%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
LIV
0 - 0
PRO
41%
29%
30%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
LIV
3 - 0
PAR
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |