Palermo FC vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
45.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
VER
0 - 0
PAL
68%
20%
13%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2003 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAM
30%
28%
42%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
PAL
2 - 2
ASC
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
MES
2 - 1
PAL
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
PAL
0 - 0
GEN
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2003 |
LEC
0 - 0
COS
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2003 |
LEC
1 - 0
CAT
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
ANC
1 - 3
LEC
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
LEC
1 - 1
VIC
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
LEC
2 - 1
ASC
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |