Palermo FC vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
18.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
14.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1981 |
RIM
1 - 1
PAL
46%
29%
26%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1981 |
PAL
3 - 0
VER
58%
27%
14%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1981 |
SAM
1 - 1
PAL
55%
26%
19%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
PAL
2 - 0
CAT
52%
28%
20%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
TAR
1 - 1
PAL
40%
32%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1981 |
LEC
1 - 0
TAR
53%
29%
18%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1981 |
PES
1 - 1
LEC
62%
24%
14%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1981 |
CAT
1 - 1
LEC
58%
27%
14%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
LEC
1 - 0
ASS
59%
27%
15%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
USF
1 - 0
LEC
64%
24%
12%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |