Palermo FC vs Gualdo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
LOD
1 - 0
PAL
28%
27%
45%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
PAL
0 - 0
GIU
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1999 |
PAL
1 - 3
SAM
18%
22%
60%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
ASC
0 - 1
PAL
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
PAL
1 - 1
BEN
63%
21%
15%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Gualdo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
FIA
0 - 0
GUA
71%
19%
10%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
GUA
2 - 2
ASC
22%
24%
54%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
ARZ
3 - 1
GUA
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
GUA
2 - 1
CAT
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |