Palermo FC vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1951 |
SAM
5 - 1
PAL
61%
20%
19%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
PAL
1 - 0
ASL
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1951 |
NAP
3 - 0
PAL
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1951 |
PAL
1 - 0
FIO
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1951 |
PAL
6 - 0
TRI
54%
23%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1951 |
UDI
2 - 2
FIO
37%
24%
39%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
ROM
3 - 0
FIO
38%
27%
36%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1951 |
FIO
1 - 1
ACM
29%
23%
48%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1951 |
PAL
1 - 0
FIO
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1951 |
NOV
0 - 1
FIO
46%
24%
29%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |