Palermo FC vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
37.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1981 |
PIS
1 - 1
PAL
53%
25%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1981 |
PAL
0 - 0
LEC
59%
26%
15%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1981 |
RIM
1 - 1
PAL
46%
29%
26%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1981 |
PAL
3 - 0
VER
58%
27%
14%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1981 |
SAM
1 - 1
PAL
55%
26%
19%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1981 |
CAT
0 - 4
FCC
32%
31%
37%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
FCC
0 - 0
INT
29%
30%
41%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
CAG
2 - 1
FCC
59%
25%
17%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
FCC
2 - 2
BOL
44%
31%
25%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
PIS
0 - 1
FCC
43%
30%
27%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |