Palermo FC vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
23.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1977 |
AVE
2 - 0
PAL
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1977 |
PAL
2 - 3
NAP
17%
22%
62%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1977 |
VIC
1 - 2
PAL
72%
17%
11%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 1977 |
PAL
2 - 2
NOV
51%
28%
21%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1977 |
LEC
2 - 2
PAL
61%
24%
15%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1977 |
FCC
2 - 2
VIC
55%
23%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1977 |
NAP
2 - 0
FCC
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1977 |
FCC
2 - 0
AVE
71%
18%
12%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
FCC
1 - 2
LAZ
40%
29%
31%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
ACM
3 - 2
FCC
74%
18%
8%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |