Palermo FC vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1971 |
SOR
2 - 1
PAL
44%
23%
34%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
PAL
0 - 0
VER
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1971 |
PAL
1 - 1
TAR
59%
26%
15%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1971 |
REG
3 - 0
PAL
46%
31%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1971 |
PAL
1 - 0
PRG
53%
28%
19%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
FCC
0 - 1
NAP
25%
26%
49%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1971 |
VER
1 - 1
FCC
70%
18%
13%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1971 |
FCC
2 - 0
BRE
39%
32%
29%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1971 |
LIV
0 - 1
FCC
41%
35%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1971 |
FCC
1 - 1
REG
47%
30%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |