Palermo FC vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
17.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
CAS
1 - 2
PAL
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
PAL
0 - 1
CRO
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
ARZ
2 - 0
PAL
33%
31%
36%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
PAL
2 - 0
AVE
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
MAR
0 - 0
PAL
23%
27%
50%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1999 |
CAT
2 - 3
ASC
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
CAT
1 - 1
JUS
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
CRO
1 - 1
CAT
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
CAT
0 - 0
CAT
67%
21%
12%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
AVE
1 - 2
CAT
57%
25%
18%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +2 |