Palermo FC vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
23.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1933 |
NAP
3 - 0
PAL
74%
15%
11%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1933 |
TRI
1 - 0
PAL
56%
22%
23%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1933 |
PAL
2 - 1
USA
42%
24%
35%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1933 |
PAL
0 - 1
JUV
22%
23%
56%
|
68 | 90 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1933 |
BRE
1 - 1
PAL
56%
22%
23%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1933 |
CAS
1 - 1
TRI
40%
24%
36%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1933 |
USA
4 - 1
CAS
74%
15%
12%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1933 |
CAS
3 - 2
TOR
32%
24%
44%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1933 |
PAD
2 - 0
CAS
56%
21%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1933 |
CAS
0 - 2
ROM
27%
25%
48%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |