Palermo FC vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 2
PAL
38%
26%
35%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 0
VER
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
PES
3 - 2
PAL
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
NUO
1 - 1
PAL
21%
27%
52%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
PAL
4 - 1
CAR
67%
21%
12%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
PAD
0 - 0
NUO
36%
29%
35%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 1
PAD
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
PAD
1 - 2
ASC
38%
30%
33%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
CTT
1 - 1
PAD
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
PAD
0 - 1
PRG
22%
26%
51%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |