Palermo FC vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
52%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
PAL
3 - 0
NAP
21%
25%
54%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
EMP
5 - 3
PAL
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
SIE
4 - 2
PAL
56%
24%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
PAL
3 - 0
LIV
33%
27%
41%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2001 |
MOD
3 - 0
PAL
58%
23%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
CAG
0 - 0
ACL
81%
13%
6%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
CAG
0 - 0
MES
69%
20%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
CAG
4 - 0
MOD
59%
24%
18%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
REG
2 - 1
CAG
42%
27%
30%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
GEN
2 - 0
CAG
39%
25%
35%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |