Palermo FC vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
30.9%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.9%
33.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
ASS
3 - 2
PAL
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
FCC
1 - 0
PAL
46%
29%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
PAL
0 - 0
NAP
40%
31%
30%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
REG
0 - 0
PAL
53%
26%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
VER
0 - 0
PAL
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
BRE
1 - 1
FCC
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
NAP
4 - 0
BRE
48%
28%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
BRE
2 - 0
VER
62%
22%
15%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
TRI
0 - 3
BRE
37%
31%
32%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
BRE
0 - 1
USA
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |