Palermo FC vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
MES
3 - 0
PAL
43%
28%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
PAL
2 - 1
ACM
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
PAL
0 - 0
FCC
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
COM
0 - 0
PAL
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
PAL
2 - 0
TRI
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
BRE
1 - 2
VNZ
57%
24%
18%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
BRE
1 - 0
VER
62%
22%
15%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
REG
1 - 1
BRE
62%
22%
17%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
BRE
1 - 0
USF
61%
21%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
PRO
2 - 1
BRE
57%
23%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |