Palermo FC vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
PAL
1 - 3
JUV
23%
23%
54%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
INT
4 - 0
PAL
81%
12%
7%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
PAL
1 - 0
SPA
52%
23%
25%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
TOR
2 - 1
PAL
62%
21%
18%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
NOV
3 - 0
PAL
63%
20%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
SAM
2 - 2
BOL
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
BOL
1 - 2
ROM
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
BOL
2 - 1
ACM
30%
24%
46%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
UDI
3 - 2
BOL
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
BOL
0 - 0
NAP
49%
24%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |