Palermo FC vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
17.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
CAG
1 - 1
PAL
62%
20%
18%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
PAL
5 - 0
FRA
81%
14%
5%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
PAL
2 - 1
EMP
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2017 |
PES
2 - 0
PAL
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
PAL
1 - 0
GEN
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
SAS
2 - 0
SPE
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
SPE
3 - 0
REG
73%
19%
8%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
SPE
3 - 0
SAV
78%
16%
6%
|
70 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2017 |
BEN
2 - 1
SPE
41%
28%
32%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
VIC
0 - 1
SPE
31%
31%
38%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |