Palermo FC vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
31.8%
Draw
0-0
15.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.8%
26.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
CAT
1 - 1
PAL
46%
31%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
PAL
0 - 0
VAR
35%
29%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
MOD
0 - 0
PAL
49%
29%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
PAL
1 - 0
AVE
48%
30%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
TAR
3 - 1
PAL
48%
31%
21%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
ASC
2 - 1
VIC
41%
31%
28%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
NOV
0 - 0
ASC
35%
31%
34%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
ASC
0 - 0
PES
51%
29%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
LEC
2 - 1
ASC
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
ASC
0 - 0
RIM
66%
23%
12%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |