Palermo FC vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
26.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1984 |
CAM
1 - 0
PAL
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1984 |
PAL
2 - 0
ATL
45%
32%
23%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
CAV
1 - 1
PAL
52%
29%
19%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
PAL
0 - 1
PAD
41%
29%
29%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
PAL
1 - 1
ARZ
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1984 |
VAR
2 - 0
PES
53%
27%
19%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1984 |
LEC
4 - 0
VAR
49%
30%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
VAR
1 - 1
ASS
53%
28%
19%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
VAR
1 - 0
PIS
54%
28%
18%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
PRG
4 - 1
VAR
47%
32%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |