Palermo FC vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
LIV
1 - 1
PAL
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
PAL
3 - 1
TRI
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
MES
1 - 1
PAL
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
PAL
3 - 0
VIC
54%
24%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
ABN
1 - 1
PAL
28%
28%
44%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
BAR
2 - 1
PIA
34%
29%
38%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
NAP
0 - 0
BAR
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
BAR
1 - 2
CAT
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
COM
1 - 3
BAR
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
BAR
2 - 1
ATL
25%
29%
46%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |