Palermo FC vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
ACM
4 - 1
PAL
77%
14%
9%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
ASL
2 - 1
PAL
57%
21%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
PAL
2 - 1
BOL
41%
27%
33%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
PAL
3 - 2
GEN
41%
25%
35%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
PAD
2 - 1
PAL
58%
21%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
BAR
2 - 1
ASL
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
BAR
1 - 0
FIO
39%
25%
35%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
ATL
2 - 1
BAR
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
JUV
4 - 0
BAR
80%
13%
8%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
BAR
3 - 2
BOL
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |