Palermo FC vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
BAR
3 - 1
PAL
56%
23%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
ROM
2 - 1
PAL
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
PAL
0 - 0
NAP
38%
27%
36%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
PAL
1 - 0
SAL
54%
22%
24%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1945 |
SIE
1 - 0
PAL
57%
21%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
ANC
0 - 1
FIO
25%
22%
53%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
ROM
3 - 0
ANC
81%
12%
7%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
BAR
4 - 2
ANC
69%
18%
14%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
ANC
1 - 1
LIV
19%
21%
61%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1945 |
LAZ
1 - 2
ANC
87%
9%
5%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | +1 |