Palermo FC vs AC Marzotto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
15%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
10.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
PAL
0 - 0
FCC
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
COM
0 - 0
PAL
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
PAL
2 - 0
TRI
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
PAL
3 - 3
REG
53%
24%
24%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
NOV
2 - 0
PAL
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
MES
2 - 0
ACM
61%
24%
15%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
ACM
0 - 0
FCC
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
ACM
1 - 1
MAN
42%
27%
32%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
USA
0 - 0
ACM
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
ACM
0 - 2
PAR
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |