Palermo FC vs AC Marzotto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1955 |
PAL
3 - 0
PAV
70%
17%
12%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1955 |
CAG
2 - 1
PAL
47%
23%
30%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1954 |
PAL
1 - 0
TAR
71%
17%
12%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1954 |
COM
0 - 1
PAL
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1954 |
USA
0 - 1
PAL
52%
24%
25%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1955 |
MES
2 - 0
ACM
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1955 |
ACM
4 - 2
USA
64%
20%
16%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1954 |
PAV
0 - 0
ACM
57%
22%
21%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1954 |
ACM
3 - 1
ASS
62%
22%
17%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1954 |
MOD
1 - 0
ACM
52%
25%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |