Palermo FC vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
18.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
15.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1974 |
ATL
1 - 1
PAL
49%
31%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
PAL
1 - 0
TER
51%
30%
20%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1974 |
PAL
2 - 0
CES
48%
27%
26%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
PAL
1 - 1
BRE
58%
27%
15%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
BRI
0 - 0
PAL
47%
28%
26%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1974 |
ARZ
1 - 0
BAR
61%
26%
13%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
NOV
1 - 0
ARZ
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
ARZ
3 - 0
AVE
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
PRG
2 - 0
ARZ
43%
31%
25%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
ARZ
2 - 0
CAT
53%
30%
18%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |