Palencia vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
50.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
ALC
1 - 1
CFP
64%
23%
14%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
ALC
1 - 1
CFP
71%
20%
10%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
CFP
1 - 1
UDC
56%
24%
20%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
CDT
1 - 1
CFP
64%
23%
13%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
CFP
0 - 1
TAL
33%
27%
41%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
RMC
3 - 3
SSR
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
ALC
0 - 1
RMC
28%
27%
46%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
RMC
2 - 1
ALC
66%
20%
15%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
UDC
0 - 2
RMC
23%
26%
51%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
RMC
1 - 0
CDT
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |