Palencia vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.1%
29%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
47.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1996 |
AVI
1 - 1
CFP
74%
17%
10%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1996 |
CFP
0 - 2
CUL
26%
29%
45%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 1996 |
LEM
2 - 1
CFP
53%
26%
21%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1996 |
CFP
0 - 1
UPL
37%
28%
35%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1996 |
RSO
0 - 0
CFP
64%
22%
14%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1996 |
NUM
1 - 0
BEA
67%
22%
12%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1996 |
BAR
2 - 0
NUM
32%
29%
40%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1996 |
NUM
2 - 1
CDU
71%
20%
9%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1996 |
FCB
3 - 1
NUM
86%
10%
4%
|
57 | 90 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1996 |
AMU
1 - 1
NUM
31%
28%
42%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |