Segunda B Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Palencia vs Lorca Atlético CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
UDL
4 - 1
CFP
54%
26%
21%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CFP
1 - 0
ATH
43%
29%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
SES
3 - 2
CFP
34%
30%
36%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
EIB
2 - 2
CFP
64%
23%
13%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CFP
2 - 0
SDA
36%
28%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lorca Atlético CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
SRQ
3 - 2
LOR
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
LOR
2 - 0
CFB
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
LOR
0 - 3
VIL
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CAD
4 - 1
LOR
73%
19%
9%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 0
SEV
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |