Palencia vs Izarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
27.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
SPB
2 - 0
CFP
66%
21%
14%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
CFP
2 - 1
VAL
31%
29%
41%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
CFP
2 - 3
TUD
43%
29%
29%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
BEA
3 - 3
CFP
51%
26%
22%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
CFP
0 - 0
BAR
43%
28%
29%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Izarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
IZA
1 - 1
BEA
54%
27%
19%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
BAR
2 - 0
IZA
49%
28%
23%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
IZA
1 - 1
CDU
58%
27%
16%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
AMU
2 - 4
IZA
44%
29%
26%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
IZA
1 - 0
RUN
35%
30%
35%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |