Palencia vs Fuenlabrada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
ZAR
1 - 2
CFP
68%
21%
11%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
CFP
0 - 1
TOM
72%
19%
10%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
UBC
1 - 0
CFP
67%
22%
12%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
CFP
1 - 0
PON
32%
27%
41%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
BUR
1 - 0
CFP
56%
27%
17%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
FUE
1 - 0
RMC
21%
26%
53%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
ALC
3 - 0
FUE
64%
22%
15%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
FUE
2 - 1
ALC
23%
26%
51%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +3 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
UDC
2 - 1
FUE
38%
27%
35%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
FUE
2 - 1
CDT
24%
29%
47%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +1 |