Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-4
Palencia vs Eibar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
41.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1994 |
CLU
0 - 0
CFP
42%
29%
30%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1994 |
CFP
0 - 0
IZA
55%
27%
19%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1994 |
CFP
2 - 0
BAR
46%
27%
27%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +3 |
| 09 Oct. 1994 |
HUL
1 - 1
CFP
27%
28%
46%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1994 |
BAR
1 - 0
CFP
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Eibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1994 |
FCB
0 - 0
EIB
71%
18%
10%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1994 |
EIB
3 - 1
LLE
29%
31%
40%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1994 |
EXT
0 - 0
EIB
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1994 |
EIB
0 - 0
ATH
40%
30%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1994 |
EIB
2 - 1
VIL
43%
29%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |