Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 4-0
Palencia vs Cultural Leonesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
18.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1991 |
ASP
2 - 2
CFP
50%
27%
23%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1991 |
CUL
0 - 2
CFP
52%
26%
22%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1991 |
CFP
1 - 1
SDA
73%
18%
10%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
SDA
1 - 4
CFP
35%
29%
36%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
PON
0 - 1
CFP
51%
27%
22%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cultural Leonesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1991 |
CUL
0 - 0
LAL
57%
26%
18%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1991 |
CUL
0 - 2
CFP
52%
26%
22%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1991 |
CUL
3 - 1
LER
71%
19%
11%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1991 |
LER
1 - 1
CUL
33%
29%
39%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1991 |
CUL
0 - 0
ROB
51%
28%
21%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |